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Gold and silver prices plummet amid geopolitical tensions

Gold and silver prices have collapsed, reaching multi-month lows. Silver has lost nearly half its value since January. Geopolitical tensions and strong US labor data have influenced investor behavior. Precious metals face competition from government bonds offering better returns. Inflation concerns could trigger further commodity sales.

Gold and silver prices plummet amid geopolitical tensions

Gold and silver, traditionally seen as safe havens, have experienced a dramatic decline in value, reaching multi-month lows. Silver, in particular, has seen its price drop below $66 per ounce, losing nearly half its value since January when it exceeded $120 per ounce. Similarly, gold's price has fallen close to $4,200 per ounce, down from nearly $5,600 in January.

This downturn in precious metal prices comes amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following a military escalation between Israel and Iran. An Apache helicopter was shot down in the Hormuz Strait, prompting former US President Donald Trump to threaten retaliation. Such geopolitical events typically boost safe assets, but this time, they have not.

The strong US labor market data, which ended hopes for monetary easing, has also played a significant role. The Federal Reserve may consider raising interest rates, aiming to temper the economy. This potential rate hike increases the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and silver, as government bonds offer better returns.

Investment bank strategists have pointed out this market paradox, where holding precious metals becomes costly. The strong dollar further exacerbates the situation, making these metals less attractive.

Global liquidity is shifting towards the oil market, as cash and energy now dictate market rules. Commerzbank and TD Securities that an unexpected inflation report could trigger panic sales, pushing commodity prices even lower.

The current correction contrasts sharply with the euphoria seen in January, when tech industry demand and customs tariffs boosted silver prices. The energy costs are rising due to Iran's blockades, adding another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.

Kevin Warsh's nomination to the Federal Reserve leadership, known for his hawkish stance on high rates, adds to the uncertainty. As precious metals lose their appeal as a disaster hedge, investors are left to navigate a challenging financial field.

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Sursă: forbes.com

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